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Chen, Chen; Koll, Charles; Wang, Haizhong; Lindell, Michael K. (, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences)Abstract. Previous tsunami evacuation simulations have mostly been based on arbitrary assumptions or inputs adapted from non-emergency situations, but a few studies have used empirical behavior data. This study bridges this gap by integrating empirical decision data from surveys on local evacuation expectations and evacuation drills into an agent-based model of evacuation behavior for two Cascadia subduction zone (CSZ) communities that would be inundated within 20–40 min after a CSZ earthquake. The model also considers the impacts of liquefaction and landslides from the earthquake on tsunami evacuation. Furthermore, we integrate the slope-speed component from least-cost distance to build the simulation model that better represents the complex nature of evacuations. The simulation results indicate that milling time and the evacuation participation rate have significant nonlinear impacts on tsunami mortality estimates. When people walk faster than 1 m s−1, evacuation by foot is more effective because it avoids traffic congestion when driving. We also find that evacuation results are more sensitive to walking speed, milling time, evacuation participation, and choosing the closest safe location than to other behavioral variables. Minimum tsunami mortality results from maximizing the evacuation participation rate, minimizing milling time, and choosing the closest safe destination outside of the inundation zone. This study's comparison of the agent-based model and the beat-the-wave (BtW) model finds consistency between the two models' results. By integrating the natural system, built environment, and social system, this interdisciplinary model incorporates substantial aspects of the real world into the multi-hazard agent-based platform. This model provides a unique opportunity for local authorities to prioritize their resources for hazard education, community disaster preparedness, and resilience plans.more » « less
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Dixit, Gaurav; Koll, Charles; Tumer, Kagan (, Genetic and evolutionary computation)null (Ed.)In many real-world multiagent systems, agents must learn diverse tasks and coordinate with other agents. This paper introduces a method to allow heterogeneous agents to specialize and only learn complementary divergent behaviors needed for coordination in a shared environment. We use a hierarchical decomposition of diversity search and fitness optimization to allow agents to speciate and learn diverse temporally extended actions. Within an agent population, diversity in niches is favored. Agents within a niche compete for optimizing the higher level coordination task. Experimental results in a multiagent rover exploration task demonstrate the diversity of acquired agent behavior that promotes coordination.more » « less
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